Sunday, October 31, 2004
No Bin Laden Bounce for Bush
WaPo, Fox polls show Bush loosing ground since Tape Surface
Well, things are still dicey and two days do not make a trend, but intersting poll numbers out today from Fox and WaPo. Both are national surveys, which are of limited use since we don't election a president in a national elections (fifty state elections instead), but here's what they show.
WaPo tracking poll has Bush down 1 point for a tie of 48% each.
Fox Poll shows Bush with a "two point" advantange (but within the margin of error, so tied really), with a 47% to 45% lead, down from 50% pre OBL tape.
Of course these fluctuations are still within the margin of error and are most likely caused by sampling variations, but if the election were solely about terrorism you'd expect a spike for Bush rather than a slight decline.
Well, things are still dicey and two days do not make a trend, but intersting poll numbers out today from Fox and WaPo. Both are national surveys, which are of limited use since we don't election a president in a national elections (fifty state elections instead), but here's what they show.
WaPo tracking poll has Bush down 1 point for a tie of 48% each.
Fox Poll shows Bush with a "two point" advantange (but within the margin of error, so tied really), with a 47% to 45% lead, down from 50% pre OBL tape.
Of course these fluctuations are still within the margin of error and are most likely caused by sampling variations, but if the election were solely about terrorism you'd expect a spike for Bush rather than a slight decline.
